Not Spaghetti

When I wrote this post only 2 months of GISS data had been posted, not 4 - so it's 10 months rather than 8 months of "prediction". And I really did not expected the La Nina to roar back as quickly as it did - I put too much trust in the average of the model projections without looking more closely at the distribution of different scenarios. Ah well.

Even if 2012 continues La Nina, it's going to be hotter than 2011.

And I do see the NASA press release says 0.51 C anomaly - nevertheless, their data table, which is the reference I have used for all other comparisons here, says 0.52. So 0.52 is the relevant number relative to my guesses or predictions - it's whatever the number is in the January-December column at the end of the year. Now maybe they'll update that a little as they do sometimes, as more stations report in. I'll check in later this month and see.