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Well done, Arthur.

Well done, Arthur. Congratulations. Given that you expect annual warming, your choice of 0.41 degrees C was a little surprising, because the years from 2002 were 0.56, 0.55, 0.49,0.63,0.54,0.57,0.43, and now 0.57.

That tend is actually negative, but not significantly so, of course.

If your next three predictions are correct, there will be a significant trend of more than 2 degrees per century from 2002 to 2012 (the 1 chance in 20 bounds are from 0.14 to 3.95 degrees C per century), which is exactly what the IPCC luminaries suggest

Given that the long term trend over all the GISS data from 1880 to 2009 is just over 0.5 degrees per century, you, and they, may turn out to be wrong.

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