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I don't expect every year to

I don't expect every year to be monotonically warmer than the previous one - nobody does. I had done some previous analysis on solar cycle and El Nino periodicity in the temperature records that led me to believe there would be somewhat of a dip before the next rise, which was the basis of that set of guesses. I'm sure temperatures will go down somewhat in future too, after the next peak, for a while. That's the way these things work.

Since the current trend is "actually negative, but not significantly so", I will generously take as your prediction for 2010 the value 0.54 (average of the last 8 years you have listed) - unless you want to be more specific. We'll see who is closer to reality at the end of the year, then, shall we?

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