Recent comments

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 day 22 hours ago

    Arthur:

    Thanks for taking the time to reply!

    The issue which I address in my previous post is a fundamental error in climatology that is obscured by an eccentricity in the use of the language of thermodynamics by climatologists. In order for one to perceive this error, it is necessary for one to pay strict attention to the mapping between the terminology of thermodynamics and the associated concepts.

    In the language of thermodynamics, it is not the "energy" of a system that is conserved under the first law; it is the "internal energy" this system. The first law states that, when a system is isolated from its environment, its internal energy is conserved.

    In the language of thermodynamics, the internal energy is not said to "flow." It is only the "heat" that flows. By definition, the heat that flows into a system is equivalent to the increase in the internal energy of this system less the work that is done by this system on its environment.

    [Please provide credible sources for these statements. Conservation of energy is one of the most fundamental laws of physics; it is certainly not confined to "internal energy". And energy most definitely flows in a variety of forms. You seem to misunderstand the most basic definitions, even of "heat" - define that with a citation to a credible source. - apsmith]

    In the circumstance that the work is nil, the heat that flows into a system is identical to the change in the internal energy of this system. Under this circumstance, there is a conservation law in which the heat that flows into a system is identical to the change in internal energy of this system. This conservation law plus the second law underlie the science of heat transfer. Estimation of the temperatures at Earth's surface is a problem in heat transfer with this as its conservation law. By confusing the concepts of thermodynamics, it is possible to compute these temperatures incorrectly.

    Under the second law, heat does not flow from cold to hot matter. However, according to Patrick 27 in Chris Colose's blog, Climatologists employ a colloquialism in which the "heat" is not subject to the second law; it is the "net heat" which is subject to this law.

    The climatologists' "net heat" is the concept which, in the language of thermodynamics, is called the "heat." To keep track of this concept, I'll call it "heat-t" (a contraction of "heat-thermodynamics"). The climatologists' "heat" is a different concept. To keep track of this concept, I'll call it "heat-c" (a contraction of "heat-climatology"). Please note that it is the conservation of heat-t that underlies the science of heat transfer.

    Use of the two colloquiallisms makes it possible for climatologists to state that the "back-radiation" flows from cold to hot matter as "heat"; this "heat" is "heat-c," but while there is a conservation principle for heat-t there is not one for for heat-c. By erasure of the distinction between heat-c and heat-t, the false conservation principle is born that underlies the Kiehl-Trenberth diagram. The existence of this false conservation principle is what Gerlich & Tscheuschner (p. 59) call the "cardinal error of global climatology."

    I've discovered this error in the Textbook "An Introduction to Atmospheric Radiation, Second Edition" dated 2002. Thus, it seems that the error is being taught to budding climatologists. Whether the error is resulting in erroneous calculation of surface temperatures by the IPCC climate models, I do not know.

    With this as a preface, perhaps you can understand my previous post.

    [No, your previous post and this one make absolutely no sense (of course, your citation of Gerlich and Tscheuschner as authority is additional proof that you have no idea what you're talking about). "heat-c" and "heat-t" are both forms of energy. Thermodynamically "heat-t" is defined as the change in internal energy of a system through completion of a process that ends with thermalization (distribution of that energy among all degrees of freedom of the system). What you are calling "heat-c" is a component of radiative energy flow, but Kirchoff's law implies that where there is absorption (and thermalization, turning heat-c into a portion of heat-t), there must also be emission of radiative energy, so there are always two sides to such a flow, so the resulting "heat-t" has both an additive and subtractive component from two separate "heat-c" radiative transfers. I.e. "heat-t" has to be net of two processes, not refer to one in isolation. Note that "heat-t" is most definitely not conserved in itself - this was the fundamental thing discovered by Joule when he came up with conservation of energy in the first place. Doing mechanical work increases internal energy, running chemical reactions (burning) increases heat-t, absorption of radiation increases heat-t, etc. - apsmith.]

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   3 days 5 hours ago

    Terry - you say "use of the ambiguous term "energy flow" raises the issue of what is meant by "energy flow."" - WHAAAATTT??

    Energy is perhaps the most fundamental quantity in physics! More fundamental than mass. More fundamental than any particular particle or atom or physical system in itself. Energy is exceptionally well understood and central to essentially all of physics. How on earth can you call the term "energy flow" ambiguous? It is not in the least. And the diagram labeled "global energy flows" is absolutely accurate in calling those things energy flows, because they are the fluxes of energy through Earth's atmosphere, which mediates the interactions between Earth's surface, the Sun, and the rest of the universe. Radiative energy is a form of energy, quantifiable as such. Heat is defined as an exchange of energy between systems at thermal equilibrium. Heat is derivative, radiation intensity is derivative, energy is fundamental.

    And the "applicable conservation principle" is the first law of thermodynamics, that energy is always conserved (so that in a steady state system, with constant temperature, net flow has to be zero, or where net flow from the universe to the surface is positive, temperature has to increase - global warming...). So of course "heat" and "radiation intensity", as pieces of the energy flow around our planet, are part of that same conservation principle. Your conclusions and extrapolations on this are absurd.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   3 days 16 hours ago

    Arthur:
    Arthur:

    Thanks for taking the time to respond!

    The Kiehl-Trenberth (K-T) diagram at http://www.windows.ucar.edu/tour/link=/earth/climate/greenhouse_effect_g... is labelled "Global Heat Flows." The K-T diagram at http://chriscolose.wordpress.com/2008/12/10/an-update-to-kiehl-and-trenb... is labelled "Global Energy Flows." Both K-T diagrams are products of UCAR.

    The "back-radiation" of the former K-T diagram violates the second law by transferring heat from cold to hot matter. The "back-radiation" of the latter K-T diagram doesn't necessarily violate the second law but the use of the ambiguous term "energy flow" raises the issue of what is meant by "energy flow."

    It seems to me that the only alternative to a heat flow is radiation intensity. Supposedly the the K-L diagram portrays a budget but the existence of a budget implies the existence of a conservation principle and there is no conservation principle that I know of for radiation intensity.

    The latter K-L diagram shows a number of flows that are labelled "radiation." My guess is that these energy flows are radiation intensities. However, also shown are flows labelled "thermals" and "latent heat." These don't sound like radiation intensities; I think they are heat flows.

    A single diagram portrays heat flows and radiation intensities and implies there is a "budget" among them but there is no applicable conservation principle for the two kinds of flow!

    I spent several recent days on Chris Colose's Web site ( http://chriscolose.wordpress.com/2008/12/10/an-update-to-kiehl-and-trenb... ) in a discussion of the K-L diagram. I requested clarification of the semantics of the K-L diagram from whatever atmospheric physicists might post there.

    Patrick 27 responded and advised me of a colloquialism in atmospheric physics in which "heat" and "radiation intensity" are used interchangably. Under this colloquialism, the "heat" is not bound by the second law of thermodynamics but the "net heat" is bound by the second law. The "net heat" of the colloquialism is what most technically trained people would call the "heat" while the "heat" of the colloquialism is what most technically trained people would call the "radiation intensity." These eccentric semantics can and in fact do cause massive confusion among people with interests in climatology. The failure to distinguish between radiation intensity and heat has worse consequences as discussed below.

    Patrick 27 gave me a proof of a conservation principle for radiation intensities, the accuracy of which I am suspicious. Regardless of the correctness of this proof, it can't be true that heat and radiation intensity are subject to the same conservation principle. Thus, it seems to me that the K-L diagram is fundamentally flawed and must be discarded.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   5 days 19 hours ago

    Terry, yes, of course back-radiation is a radiative energy flow ("radiation intensity" if you wish) - by definition it cannot be "heat" because heat requires thermalization (redistribution among degrees of freedom at a given temperature), and the radiation is not thermalized until it is absorbed at the other end. So in transit it is most certainly not "heat", but radiative energy flow. And from Kirchoff's law (as well as the second law) the net radiative energy flow which determines the actual heat exchange between the two sides must be from hot to cold. That's very straightforward. Perhaps UCAR mislabeled a diagram (though I don't actually see any such mis-labeling in the page you pointed to), but there's no question that back-radiation is definitely a radiative energy flow which is only one side of a heat exchange - the name says "radiation" for one.

    Your "problem for this interpretation" as a radiative energy flow is completely illogical. For one, the most recently updated Kiehl-Trenberth diagram which I linked to earlier in this discussion is not balanced - there is net heat increase of about 1 W/m^2 on the surface. The cause of the imbalance is humanity's enormous increase in greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which is sort of the whole point of this discussion. It is not balanced.

    Of course it is close to being balanced (and the earlier iteration with less precision was numerically balanced) - but all that means is that the Earth is in close to a steady state, not heating or cooling. G&T's call for some sort of "conservation principle" is hilarious - the "conservation principle" in question here is simply the conservation of Earth's temperature. If Earth's temperature remains fixed, then no net heat is flowing to our planet, and incoming and outgoing radiation flows must balance. If there is an imbalance (as there is right now) then Earth's temperature must increase. Really, there's little more that needs to be said about their (and apparently your) misunderstanding of the whole problem.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   5 days 19 hours ago

    Terry - the only "UCAR diagram" that I see on the page you linked to right now is the Kiehl-Trenberth diagram itself, and the caption refers to "energy flows", so that's perfectly accurate. Can you be a little more specific on where you see a problem (what is the figure you have a problem with labeled, what *exactly* does it say you think is wrong, why, etc), because I see no problem at all in the diagram there right now. It's not a theoretical picture, Kiehl-Trenberth is based on actual measurements. And obviously there's absolutely no violation of the second law in such a real-life system.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   5 days 22 hours ago

    Dear Mr. Staples:

    Thanks for taking the time to comment!

    I'm not focused on the AGW controversy but rather on a foundational issue for climatology. This issue is whether or not the Kiehl-Trenberth type of diagram is fundamentally flawed. If it is fundamentally flawed, this would have far reaching implications for climatology.

    If it is flawed, this flaw is obscured by an ambiguous and confusing use of language in climatology. Under this language, the separate concepts of "heat," "work" and "internal energy" are described by the single word "energy." Additionally, a heat flow is confused with a radiation intensity. The confusion results in the need by climatologists to employ the neologism which they call the "net heat flow" to avoid violations of the second law of thermodynamics. For climatologists, the second law does not apply to a heat flow but rather to a "net heat flow." This is a non-standard and confusing usage of technical English. In technical English, the notion of a "net heat flow" does not exist.

    In making the following remarks, I use standard technical English. Thus, my "heat flow" is the equivalent of the "net heat flow" of climatology. Also, unlike a climatologist, I distinguish between the concepts of heat flow and radiation intensity

    According to one UCAR publication, the entity that flows through a Kiehl-Trenberth diagram is energy. According to another UCAR publication, this entity is heat. If it is heat, then the Kiehl-Trenberth diagram is invalidated by the violation of the second law of thermodynamics by the heat flow which UCAR calls the "back-radiation."

    If an energy flow is not a heat flow, then it seems to me that it must be a radiation intensity. However, there is a problem for this interpretation. The Kiehl-Trenberth diagram implies there is a balance of energy flows. This implies there is a balance of radiation intensities. However, in their paper "Falsification...," Gerlich&Tscheuschner point out that the notion of a balance implies the existence of a conservation principle. However, they state, there is no such principle for radiation intensities. They state that to assume there is such a principle is the "cardinal error" of climatology.

    I'm left with the conclusion that, whether an "energy flow" is interpreted as a heat flow or as a radiation intensity, there is something fundamentally wrong with the Kiehl-Trenberth diagram.

    I'll end with a bit of speculation. A balance of heat flows is a valid concept. Perhaps, climatologists have fooled themselves into thinking there is a balance of radiation intensities by their failure to distinguish between a heat flow and a radiation intensity.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   5 days 23 hours ago

    Arthur:

    Thank you for taking the time to respond.

    In reply, I'm going to delay responding to each of your points for I perceive this conversation to have moved away from the central issue and into tangential issues. For me, the central issue is whether there is something fundamentally wrong with the Kiehl-Trenberth type of diagram. I'd like to engage you on this issue.

    If you are willing to engage, I'd like to get your stipulation that it is a fact that the UCAR diagram showing "heat" flowing from cold to hot matter as "back-radiation", in the absense of a heat pump, violates the second law of thermodynamics. If you were to make this stipulation, then we might be able to move the conversation expeditiously forward to a joint conclusion.

  • The problems with combined heat and power (CHP critique part 3)   6 days 31 min ago

    Sean Casten and I have been discussing all this quite a bit further over at Grist (see the link in Sean's comment above). There are several issues with what I've written in this article that probably should be corrected, though I'd like to see the numbers in some alternate sources for confirmation. The basic substance of my article, though, is still, as far as I can tell, perfectly correct. Here are the issues for further investigation/correction, if I get a chance!

    (1) The Oak Ridge report very likely was talking about "real" CHP combined-cycle gas turbines (CCGT's) when they discussed those - total installed CCGT capacity in the US is stated by Sean to be about 230 GW, so the 45 GW listed by the Oak Ridge report is just 20% of that. However, these plants are really CHP only just barely (for regulatory/tax purposes), and "optimized for electric production". I.e. they are hybrids of E-CHP and R-CHP (topping systems) with the R-CHP component corresponding to a small fraction (a little over 10%) of the total fuel consumption of the system. In any case, many of the benefits that the report touts from switching to more CHP for electric production still look from the numbers to come more from the good electric conversion efficiency and natural gas use of CCGT (E-CHP) systems rather than any of the "waste heat recovery" true R-CHP components.

    (2) Sean seems to use a cost/benefit metric for CHP installations (bottoming or topping) that assumes the cost or value of heat is a constant that can be factored out. For some economic modeling that's probably not a bad assumption - as I said here, these plants can deliver real benefits from making use of energy that would otherwise be just wasted. But what the thermodynamics tells you is that for low-temperature heat you can do much better than 100% - and that means there's a huge competitive window to lower the cost of heating at those low temperatures. So I don't believe long-term it's a good assumption to make economically, but short term it probably is about as good as any other. In any case, the problem with production of two incommensurate products (heat and electricity) is that there never can be a single metric that captures everything you need to know. Much depends on the circumstances. But the thermodynamics really does matter, in the end.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   6 days 58 min ago

    Yes, the epsilon_eff is a weighted average, not a straight average - but then T_eff is not exactly a weighted average or a straight average, it's a power-law average so I'm not sure there's any one term that would work better than the generic "average". My intent was more for the equations to speak for themselves, but obviously the wording could have been a little clearer around there. Still, you'd think after explaining it several times Kramm would have realized oh yeah, that makes sense. No such luck (as far as I can tell anyway).

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   6 days 7 hours ago

    I have now studied both the article and Kramms pdf-document closer.

    I was also quite confused because you state right under equation 6 that the effective quantities you define by equation 7 and 8 are planetal averages. Reading your comment "Why are some people so easy confused" solved it for me however. While equation (7) is a true average for for T^4 the same does not hold for equation 8. But I fully understand what you mean in the context.
    If one plugs in definitions (7) and (8) to equation 9 one recovers equation 6, just as expected.
    It is vital to realise what you state "effective radiative temperature in this discussion, the particularly useful value corresponds to the uniform temperature that would given the same Stefan-Boltzmann emissions as the given temperature distribution under uniform emissivity" if one wants to understand this.

    I think the confusion could have been avoided if you had used another expression after equation 6. If one makes standard averages as Kramm does (and the text kind of suggests) then equation 9 does not hold.

    Best regards
    Søren Rosdahl Jensen

  • The problems with combined heat and power (CHP critique part 3)   1 week 1 day ago

    Sorry, Sean, but I don't think you read my article completely (and the preceding two it is based on). You can't weasel out of the fundamental problem here that the efficiency numbers you talk about are fine when limited to heating only, as relative measures of utility, but they are not efficiencies in the sense normally understood, as something limited to 100% maximum, and they simply cannot reasonably be just added to electric efficiencies to come up with a comparable total. Otherwise how could a heat pump get 500% "efficiency" by your reckoning? I explicitly gave an example near the end where the total fuel use for a separate system (electric supply plus heat pump) was 25% *less* than for the CHP case, even though the CHP claimed an astonishing 85% efficiency by your (EDUCOGEN) reckoning.

    If an industrial facility (I-CHP, or "bottoming" as discussed in my article) does not need particularly high-temperature heat, then thermodynamically when they burn fuel they are wasting the temperature difference between the maximum flame temperature of the fuel and the temperature they need. That is real entropy increase, lost to the world. Entropy increase is the essence of waste, closed system or open it doesn't matter. Now, there may be no better way to reach the temperatures they need in practice, but that loss is inevitable if burning fuel is the technology used for heating. In any case, the I-CHP case is the one I believe to be most justified to pursue, and of course there are other efficiencies that can be obtained along the way as you are modifying an industrial system (I mentioned that in reference to the IPCC WG3 discussion of industrial co-gen).

    I assume the projects you're doing are all I-CHP ? Or do you disagree with that classification as well?

  • The problems with combined heat and power (CHP critique part 3)   1 week 1 day ago

    Your article makes a number of fairly common mistakes, largely around confusing thermodynamic efficiency with the efficiency as perceived by our wallets and environment. The two are similar, but not identical. If I install insulation in my home, I can stay just as warm with less marginal fuel use, giving me (on the margin) comparable useful energy with less fuel consumption. What's the marginal fuel efficiency of that investment? Zero divided by a negative number is meaningless from a thermodynamic perspective, but very real from an environmental and economic one. Similarly, cogen doesn't have to violate the second law of thermodynamics to effectively achieve first-law level fuel-to-electric efficiencies on a marginal basis.

    Have a look here for a more fulsome explanation: http://www.grist.org/article/chp-primer-fun-with-thermodynamics

    One other point to keep in mind. Thermodynamic balances on systems are wonderful tools, but all have an innate assumption that you are dealing with a closed system, within which all energy inflows and outflows are known with precision. Outside of a controlled laboratory environment, it's very hard to find such systems. This can create neat ancillary effects whereby CHP (or other efficiency measures) lead to apparent violations of the first law as well by lowering system losses that are not normally quantified. A common example I have often found in the ~70 odd CHP projects I've personally built is that industrials often overdesign their processes to use higher temperature thermal energy than they need to maintain safety margins. When a decision is later made to install a CHP plant, they suddenly see that bias for safety margins as an explicit trade off against their bottom line. This results because a decision to supply high temperature heat from a CHP facility is a conscious decision to generate less electricity, lowering overall fuel efficiency (your suggestion that high temperatures = higher efficiency is exactly backwards in every way that matters economically and environmentally). As such, operators suddenly have an incentive to lower the temperature of heat supply to process, lowering radiative losses throughout their thermal networks and in some instances leading to marginal electric out / marginal fuel in efficiencies in excess of 100%.

    This is not to say that CHP is a silver bullet, any more than any other technology can uniquely provide all of the solutions to our environmental challenges. But it doesn't suffer from the limitations you cite.

  • Leprechauns and climate   1 week 1 day ago

    Arthur.

    I can only echo Scott Mandia's comment - this is a wonderful, well thought-out and well composed piece.

    I am late to your blog, but quick to have bookmarked it. It's a considered resource that I am sure to reference many times in the future.

    Kudos.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 1 day ago

    Actually I don't even remember a turbulence argument. I don't particularly want to reread it - if you do have a specific question from it let me know.

    Not sure what version of the rebuttal you saw, but yes a version should be published in coming months. Haven't heard a date though yet.

  • The Bloom box - doing fuel cells right   1 week 2 days ago

    Just read the article... indeed that's the direction they're headed:

    One byproduct of fuel cells is water, and Bloom has patented and proved a fuel-cell design that could also tap electricity generated by solar panels and wind farms to electrolyze water to produce hydrogen that could be used as fuel in the cell.

    “That’s the killer app,” said Mr. Sridhar, who said such a product probably would introduced within a decade.

  • The Bloom box - doing fuel cells right   1 week 2 days ago

    To add to your points in favour, if the fuel cell technology that this is based on has the potential to switch to other fuel sources in the future (eg hydrogen) then it is an even better step in the right direction. It builds expertise and promotes economies of scale in the fuel cell business which should lower costs for future infrastructure in this area.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 3 days ago

    Those who reject experimental results, Arthur, should be condemned to repeat them.

    Eli’s site refers visitors to your explanation, Arthur, which claims that he gap between the interior and the glass was insufficient to establish a temperature differential, and hence a radiative transfer
    But in the world of theoretical Physics we can set the temperatures at any level consistent with the well established convective and radiative heat transfer equations. This is easier than building and instrumenting real greenhouses.

    SD Silverstein (who he?) did exactly this in a 1976 paper entitled “A Clarification of the Greenhouse Effect”. He used an atmospheric temperature of 0 degrees C, an interior temperature of 21 degrees C, and he calculated the radiative and convective heat flows (heat, not energy) from room to glass interior, interior to exterior, and exterior to atmosphere, and repeated the calcuations for the rock salt case.The radiative heat transfer from the interior was substantial, being absorbed by the glass and passing through the rock salt. (The "cold to hot" energy transfer, Terry, is the negative term in the Stefan Bolzmann radiative heat transfer equation).

    As a result, the glass was warmer than the rock-salt, 4.3 degrees against 2.5 degrees. But, consequently, the convection from the warmer glass was greater than from the cooler rock-salt, compensating for the much greater radiation through the rock salt to the atmosphere. This is a plausible explanation of Wood’s result.

    As I pointed out to Eli, there is something for almost everyone in this analysis.

    For RW Woods, Silverstein concludes that IR opacity or transparency is important but “this effect is more in the mix of different transport mechanisms than in the net thermal transport”. Increased convection balances reduced radiation, so the internal temperature is much the same.
    Nevertheless, the figures do show the total thermal transport for the transparent case to be 18% greater than for the opaque case. This suggests that the difference between zero IR absorption and 100% absorption is a few degrees C.

    So for the opaque greenhouse salesmen, the temperature differential might be marginally in favour of the glass house.

    For the AGW advocates, Silverstein concludes that the IR-absorbing components of the atmosphere (mainly water vapour) do provide a radiation shield, reducing the surface to tropopause radiation and hence the surface cooling.

    For the AGW denialists, the corresponding effect of radiative warming of the atmosphere will increase the convective transfer to the tropopause, and hence the radiative cooling to space. For the direct atmosphere to surface, back-warming enthusiasts, Silverstein, like Sir Arthur Eddington, and RW Woods can offer no hope.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 3 days ago

    Thanks for the quick reply Arthur.
    I did already read that post as wells as Kramms pdf I linked to. It seems like he is confusing your definitions.
    I just asked aobut the turbulence stuff because I am a little bit rusty in that but I am going to look at this soon.

    I agree that the surface integral issue is quite straight forward.

    I have another question that might be off topic, but however:
    I have seen the rebuttal paper to Gerlich and Tscheuschner, I would like to know if it was accepted for publication or if it will be?

    Thanks for your time,
    Søren R. Jensen

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 3 days ago

    Terry, physics is not a matter of semantics or "speculation". It is not "speculative grounds" that the radiative heat transfer is not nil. Radiative heat transfer is calculable, it is measurable, it is most definitely not nil, both in the atmosphere and in real engineering systems.

    It also, as I explained, has a very definite and measurably different dependence on system geometry. For small distances in air, convection will generally be much larger. Even at the scale of the full atmosphere, the net flow by convection is comparable to that by radiation (from the Kiehl-Trenberth diagram I have linked elsewhere in this comment discussion).

    The only error in the UCAR presentation, as I have explained to you already, is the use of the term "heat" to refer to a microscopically-defined energy transfer process (radiative transfer) for which temperature and therefore "heat" is not a well-defined quantity. Nevertheless, substituting "energy" for "heat" in the UCAR description makes it entirely valid. The energy transfers are real and measurable. Calling them speculative puts you in the position of flat-out denying basic observational and theoretical physics. And saying that this slightly incorrect UCAR statement invalidates the greenhouse effect is the height of over-exaggeration of your case.

    In radiative transfer that energy flows, measurably, from cold bodies to hot bodies all the time. It also flows back in the reverse direction; you cannot have one without the other. Second-law violation is prevented through the tying-together of absorption and emission characteristics of materials: if one side is absorbing the incoming radiation from a cooler object, it will also be emitting radiation back in the reverse direction at an even higher rate. The net heat flow is from hot to cold, and never violates that macroscopic second-law principle.

    If you believe there is a second-law violation in the UCAR description, please write down the specific places where you see entropy decreasing in their description of the system. If you can't do that, then you don't understand what you're talking about. And I will not countenance further baseless accusations of this sort here.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 3 days ago

    Response to: Thu, 02/25/2010 - 14:15 — apsmith "Terry, you cannot just "assign nil to PHot -PCold". Those photon flows do not cease just because you've added some air. What happens in the limit where the air density gets very small?"

    Arthur:

    Thank you for taking the time to respond. The effect of your deletion of the major portion of my submission is to create a strawman argument that obscures a violation of the second law of thermodynamics on the speculative grounds that the radiative component of heat transfer may not be nil. This argument fails on several grounds. One is that the second law violation stands independent of whether the radiative component is nil.

    The major issue under discussion is whether UCAR errs in implying that heat flows from colder matter in Earth's atmosphere to hotter matter in Earth's surface thus warming Earth. It certainly does err, for this heat flow violates the second law of thermodynamics. By this error, UCAR creates a "greenhouse effect" that does not exist. According to UCAR, this "greenhouse effect" is THE greenhouse effect. As a proposal is on the table to spend about 500 trillion dollars on CO2 abatement to address an alleged greenhouse effect, it seems to me that this issue is worthy of discussion in your blog.

    As UCAR plays a prominent role in climatological research, it would be well if we could explain to UCAR what is wrong with its thinking. To accomplish this task, we would need to have an accurate picture of UCAR's thinking. I don't have such a picture. However, I do have some ideas. One is that UCAR's thinking is clouded by failure to distinguish among the concepts of energy, heat and work. Another is that UCAR is confused about the mechanism by which heat leaves Earth's surface.

    In relation to the question of the mechanism, a limitation of the literature on heat transfer arises. One is that the literature on convective heat transfer makes the tacit assumption that the radiative contribution to the heat transfer is negligible. Once this assumption is made, a picture arises that explains how a greenhouse really works. It works by thickening the hydrodynamic and thermal boundary layers at Earth's surface thusly increasing the resistance to heat flow from Earth's surface. Trapping of radiation by the greenhouse glass is not a factor in warming the portion of Earth's surface that lies under a real greehouse. This conclusion is consistent with the experimental findings that are reported by G&T.

    In the partially deleted post, I take the radiative contribution to the heat transfer from Earth's surface to be nil. I do this for the purpose of linking a description of the mechanism of the heat transfer to the literature on heat transfer. G&T address the appropriateness of this approximation in their paper. On page 15, they state that "...Alfred Schack...showed that the radiative component of heat transfer of CO2, though relevant at the temperatures in combustion chambers, can be neglected at atmospheric temperatures." On page 77, they state that "...Alfred Schack pointed out in the twenties of the past century that the infrared
    light absorbing fire gas components carbon dioxide (CO2) and water vapor (H2O) may be responsible for a higher heat transfer in the combustion chamber at high burning temperatures through an increased emission in the infrared." I gather from the two quotes that neither CO2 nor water vapor contributes signicantly to the heat transfer at atmospheric temperatures.

    Whether G&T are right or wrong in their assertion is immaterial to the issue of UCAR's second law violation. If G&T are seriously in error, the only effect is to complicate the mechanism of heat transfer such that the literature of heat transfer does not provide an accurate description of it. Such an error does not permit UCAR to violate the second law.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 3 days ago

    Søren - I discussed Kramm's confusion more specifically in this earlier post. I have corresponded with him at length and I can find no point on which he will stick, he seems to keep changing the subject (generally reverting to ad hominems - for example calling us communists in an email exchange just a few days ago). I'm not particularly interested in trying to fix his brain, but if you have a specific question on the notation, feel free to ask. In particular, the surface area element "dx" he seems to complain about in my paper is converted to standard spherical coordinates (r^2 sin(theta)d theta d phi) to solve the various equations presented, it's quite straightforward.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 3 days ago

    Arthur:
    Do you have a response to the note from Gerhard Kramm about the notational disagreements?
    http://www.gi.alaska.edu/~kramm/climate/Arthur Smith and the basic rules of calculus.pdf

    Especially on his comments about the use of your notation in turbulence?

  • The death of science journalism - and what could replace it   1 week 4 days ago

    Arthur,

    Skeptical Science now has a Facebook page also. It appears that Facebook and Twitter are where people are getting their information nowadays. I know my students are using these tools.

    Given that, I bit the bullet today and signed up for a Facebook account with the purpose of creating a Group. The group is called Global Warming Fact of the Day.

    I will post a small factoid each day related to climate change that is geared toward the general public. From what I gather, anybody who joins the group will get this daily factoid automatically on their Facebook page. I like the concept because people will get information without having to go find it. I started with three factoids to wet appetites.

    Scott

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 5 days ago

    Ah, you need to take a look at the Kiehl-Trenberth diagram: http://chriscolose.wordpress.com/2008/12/10/an-update-to-kiehl-and-trenb...

    Net average heat flow from surface to atmosphere for Earth is 23 W/m^2 by radiation, 17 W/m^2 by convection, and 80 W/m^2 via latent heat flow (conduction is, as I suggested, negligible on the real Earth). There's an additional 40 W/m^2 of radiation that leaves Earth and goes directly into space - that number would be higher on clear nights, as you note. So total net radiative cooling of Earth's surface (the PHot - PCold term discussed above) averages to 63 W/m^2, or a little under 40% of the total heat flow.

  • The Arrogance of Physicists   1 week 6 days ago

    I think you've hit upon a point that might be cause for the severe confusion here. As an astrophysicist, I come to the problem from a field where the scales and densities are such that radiation dominates energy transport in the vast majority of cases. Convection is important in a few situations (stellar structure and possibly AGN accretion disks) and conduction almost never (neutron stars might be an exception). On Earth, on the other hand, radiation is much less important, so it makes sense that people used to dealing with terrestrial thermodynamic systems almost never deal with radiation and will have less intuition for how energy transport by radiation works. I, on the other hand, probably have a tendency to think in radiation terms even when I shouldn't. (For example, when thinking of the greenhouse effect, I never reflected until recently on the fact that heat is transported by convection in the troposphere. I should have known better, because in stars it's generally assumed that convection, if it operates, is so efficient that it will always lock the temperature gradient at the adiabatic rate.)

    It would be interesting to know what fraction of the energy transport outward from the surface is in terms of convection vs radiation. Clearly there's everyday evidence that both radiation (i.e. frost on clear nights) and convection (thermals, cumulus clouds) operate. Does anyone have any data on this?